The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Incerto)
| Author | : | |
| Rating | : | 4.24 (679 Votes) |
| Asin | : | 1400063515 |
| Format Type | : | paperback |
| Number of Pages | : | 366 Pages |
| Publish Date | : | 2015-02-07 |
| Language | : | English |
DESCRIPTION:
The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility,” which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. The Black Swan is a landmark book—itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb “The most prophetic voice of all.”—GQ Praise for The Black Swan “A book that altered modern thinking.”—The Times (London) &ldqu
Roger D. Williams said A Modern Masterwork. The first book that I read in the four-volume "Incerto" set by Nassim Kaleb was "Antifragile," so my reading of "The Black Swan" is out of sequence. However, I am glad that I came to it in its second edition, with footnotes addressing some of the criticisms made of it (tip: flip to the footnote as soon as you come across the symbol identifying it rather reading on to the end of the chapter where they are listed). While highly relevant to the dismal science of economics, it is far from a dismal tome. Some of the anecdotes will have you chuckling or even laughing out loud! It is a highly stimulating and e. Ronald A. Elling said Read the postscript in the "Read the postscript in the 2nd edition and you won't need anything else" according to Ronald A. Elling. A must have read. Definitely get the second edition. The "postscript essay" is the most valuable part of the whole book. You have to slog your way through endless invectives in edition one, but the postscript in edition two ties it all together in a tight presentation. Excellent work that I came to through "The Signal and the Noise".. nd edition and you won't need anything else. A must have read. Definitely get the second edition. The "postscript essay" is the most valuable part of the whole book. You have to slog your way through endless invectives in edition one, but the postscript in edition two ties it all together in a tight presentation. Excellent work that I came to through "The Signal and the Noise".. Beware the Black Swan This is an interesting, challenging book. The author believes that the events that change the world come out of the blue, are not predictable, and afterwards we try to make sense of them, pretending they are predictable. These events exist outside the ordinary where small perturbations of little real account can be managed for. Since we can;t predict Black Swans, we can manage so as to reduce the risk from negative swans and be ready and receptive to take advantage of positive ones.I am still absorbing this but I think it has changed how I look at things and manage for risk and opportunity.The author's
He calls them Black Swans, which is a reference to a 17th century philosophical thought experiment. We're still doing it. But Taleb takes this to a new level with a delightful romp through history, economics, and the frailties of human nature. Now, in The Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable, he focuses on that most dismal of sciences, predicting the future. Engaging and enlightening, The Black Swan is a book that may change the way you think about the world, a book that Chris Anderson calls, "a delightful romp through history, economics, and the frailties of human nature." See Anderson's entire g